TipRanks reveals the top 10 services sector analysts of the past decade

TipRanks reveals the top 10 services sector analysts of the past decade

A man carrying a box leaves a Deutsche Bank office in London, Britain July 8, 2019.

Simon Dawson | Reuters

Despite the disruption from the pandemic, the services sector has continued to grow over the past decade, offering opportunities to invest. 

TipRanks recognized the 10 best analysts in the services sector for identifying the best investment opportunities. These Wall Street analysts surpassed their peers with their stock picking and delivered considerable returns through their recommendations.

TipRanks leveraged its Experts Center tool to zoom in on analysts with a high success rate, and analyzed every recommendation made by analysts in the services sector over the past decade. 

The ranking shows analysts’ ability to generate returns from their recommendations. TipRanks’ algorithms calculated the statistical significance of each rating, the average return, and analysts’ overall success rate. Further, these ratings were measured over one year.

Top 10 analysts from the consumer goods sector

The image below shows the most successful Wall Street analysts from the services sector.

1. Jason Seidl – TD Cowen

Jason Seidl tops the list. Seidl has an overall success rate of 73%. His best rating has been on Daseke (NASDAQ:DSKE), a provider of transportation and logistics solutions. His buy call on DSKE stock from May 7, 2020 to May 7, 2021, generated a solid return of 327.7%.

2. Patrick Brown – Raymond James

Patrick Brown is second on this list and has a success rate of 75%. Brown’s top recommendation is Saia (NASDAQ:SAIA), a transportation company. The analyst generated a profit of 211.2% through his buy recommendation on Saia stock from April 17, 2020 to April 17, 2021.

3. Scot Ciccarelli – Truist Financial

Truist Financial analyst Scot Ciccarelli ranks No. 3 on the list. Ciccarelli has a success rate of 73%. His best recommendation has been on Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), a value retailer. The analyst generated a return of 249.4% through a buy recommendation on FIVE from May 18, 2020 to May 18, 2021. 

4. Brian Nagel – Oppenheimer

Brian Nagel bags the fourth spot on the list. The analyst has a 67% overall success rate. Nagel’s best recommendation has been on Lovesac (NASDAQ:LOVE), a manufacturer and seller of high-quality furniture. His buy call on LOVE stock generated a stellar 800% return April 2, 2020 to April 2, 2021.

5. Carlo Santarelli – Deutsche Bank 

Fifth-place analyst Carlo Santarelli has a success rate of 63%. His best recommendation is Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ:CZR), a leading casino-entertainment company. The analyst delivered a profit on this stock of 437.2% from April 24, 2020 to April 24, 2021.

 6. Gary Prestopino – Barrington

7. Helane Becker – TD Cowen 

TD Cowen analyst Helane Becker is seventh on this list, with a success rate of 66%. Becker’s best call has been a buy on the shares of United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), an airline holding company. The recommendation generated a return of 180.7% from Dec. 8, 2009, to Oct. 22, 2010.

8. Walter Spracklin – RBC Capital

In the eighth position is Walter Spracklin of RBC Capital. Spracklin has an overall success rate of 64%. The analyst’s top recommendation is TFI International (TSE:TFI), a Canadian transportation and logistics company. Based on his buy call on TFI, Spracklin generated a profit of 215.2% from April 22, 2020, to April 22, 2021.

9. Jeff Van Sinderen – B.Riley

Jeff Van Sinderen ranks ninth on the list. The analyst sports a 52% success rate. His top recommendation has been on Celsius Holdings (NASDAQ:CELH), a consumer packaged goods company. The buy recommendation generated a return of 800% from April 22, 2020, to April 22, 2021.

10. Jake Bartlett – Truist Financial

Jake Bartlett has the 10th spot on the list, with a success rate of 66%. Bartlett’s best call has been a buy on shares of Jack in the Box (NASDAQ:JACK), a fast-food restaurant chain. The recommendation generated a return of 261.2% from April 1, 2020 to April 1, 2021.

Bottom line

Investors can follow the recommendations of top analysts to make an informed investment decision. We will return soon with the top 10 analysts of the past decade in the Industrials sector.

Activist investor Elliott is back at NRG Energy. Here’s how the firm plans to build value

Activist investor Elliott is back at NRG Energy. Here’s how the firm plans to build value

Vm | E+ | Getty Images

Company: NRG Energy (NRG)

Business: NRG Energy is an integrated power company involved in producing and selling electricity and related products and services to residential, commercial, industrial and wholesale customers. It generates electricity using natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear and battery storage.

Stock Market Value: $7.6B ($33.30 per share)

Activist: Elliott Management

Percentage Ownership:  > 13.0%

Average Cost: n/a

Activist Commentary: Elliott is a very successful and astute activist investor, particularly in the technology sector. Its team includes analysts from leading tech private equity firms, engineers and operating partners – former technology CEO and COOs. When evaluating an investment, the firm also hires specialty and general management consultants, expert cost analysts and industry specialists. The firm often watches companies for many years before investing and has an extensive stable of impressive board candidates.

What’s happening?

On May 15, Elliott sent a letter to NRG. The firm called on the company to implement a plan that includes appointing five new independent board members it has identified and making operational and strategic improvements, including a review of Vivint Smart Home.

This is not Elliott’s first foray with NRG. In January 2017, the firm filed a 13D on NRG with a plan centered around operational improvements and portfolio actions. Elliott saw a company with an attractive collection of generation and retail assets that had lost its focus as it expanded beyond its core merchant power and retail electricity businesses, which led to an uncompetitive cost structure, an overleveraged balance sheet and a complex asset portfolio. As part of its plan, Elliott suggested that NRG focus on its core businesses by reducing costs, monetizing non-core assets to simplify its portfolio and paying down debt. NRG conducted a four-month business review that targeted initiatives, including $1.065 billion of total cost and margin improvement, $2.5 billion to $4.0 billion of asset divestitures and $13 billion of debt reduction. In February 2017, Elliott settled with the company for the replacement of two directors, including the chairman, with a longtime director (since 2003) taking over the chairman role. Elliott exited their 13D six months later with a 103.5% return versus 7.5% for the S&P 500. One year later, one of their directors resigned from the board. Two years after Elliott wrapped up the engagement, the other director resigned.

Since the end of the firm’s engagement, NRG has reversed much of its progress and has underperformed the S&P Utilities Index by 44% and integrated power peers by 53%, which can largely be attributed to various operational failures and a loss of strategic direction. NRG missed two years of financial guidance in 2021 and 2022 after struggling with repeated plant outages and demonstrating an inability to manage through extreme weather events. Perhaps more impactive to its dismal performance was the company’s acquisition of Vivint (a home security business), completed on March 10. This acquisition prompted a 20% decline in NRG’s market cap over the first week and begs the question of why the company would make such a large bet on a strategy that many other firms have already failed to execute successfully.

Missteps aside, Elliott thinks that the company’s retail franchise is a crown jewel that has been a market leader in Texas for over 20 years and there remain several opportunities to get back on track. Now Elliott is back with a plan that is remarkably similar to its 2017 plan: improve operations, refresh the board, and fix strategy and capital allocation. Elliott calls on the company to adopt an operationally focused strategy of improving reliability, reducing costs and meeting financial commitments. The firm thinks that this could lead to at least $500 million of recurring, EBITDA-accretive cost reductions by 2025. Additionally, Elliott believes that NRG should conduct a strategic review of its home services strategy, including Vivint, and focus on the core integrated power business. The company should also establish a new capital allocation framework to return at least 80% of free cash flow to shareholders, with any growth investments focused on the generation and retail businesses. Elliott states that this plan would allow the company to return $6.5 billion of excess capital (~85% of the current market cap) to shareholders over the next three years. Elliott believes that this plan could create over $5 billion of value, driving the stock price to upward of $55 per share.

To effectively oversee this plan, Elliott believes that the board needs new independent directors with expertise in the power and energy industry. Elliott has identified five candidates that it believes will help implement the foregoing operational and strategic changes. The board and management currently consist of the same chairman Elliott agreed to in 2017, five (out of 10) of the same directors from before Elliott’s 2017 engagement and the same CEO as from before the firm’s engagement. Elliott does not come out and say that the company needs a new CEO, but the firm certainly dances around it in the May 15 letter: It notes that the company “must restore the credibility of the management team.” “The Board should also evaluate the management team’s ability to drive high-performance operations on a sustained basis.” “Strong management will be key to the success of the Repower NRG Plan,” and “significant changes are needed.”

One of the biggest, but under-recognized benefits of shareholder activism is that activists often not only create value during their engagement, but they also put the company on the right trajectory to sustain shareholder value over the long term. The latter did not happen here, and now Elliott is realizing the difference between giving someone a fish and teaching them to fish. Or, to use a more business-like analogy, the difference between “clock building” and “time telling” as explained by author Jim Collins in the book “Built to Last.” “Searching for a single great idea on which to build success is time telling; building an organization that can generate many great ideas over a long period of time is clock building. Enduring greatness requires clock building,” Collins wrote. In 2017, Elliott’s campaign was about time telling. To achieve the kind of long-term value the firm appears to be aiming for this time around, it is going to have to build a clock.

They will have time to make this happen. Elliott has only recommended directors instead of nominating them, which signals amicable engagement, but it cannot formally nominate directors until Dec. 29 and has until Jan. 28, 2024 to make nominations. The amount of change that is needed to sustain long-term value as Elliott alludes to in its letter will take more than just replacing two directors this time, so an early settlement might not be in the cards.

It should be noted that activists have historically not been that successful the second time around when they go back to the well. A 2019 study conducted by 13D Monitor concluded that when activists file a second campaign at the same company, they have an average return of 16.78% versus 28.56% for the S&P 500 the second time around. That’s compared to an average return of 46.54% versus 6.25% the first time they engaged.

Ken Squire is the founder and president of 13D Monitor, an institutional research service on shareholder activism, and the founder and portfolio manager of the 13D Activist Fund, a mutual fund that invests in a portfolio of activist 13D investments.

Boycotts hit stocks hard. Here's what might be next for Bud, Target and others caught in the anti-Pride backlash

Boycotts hit stocks hard. Here’s what might be next for Bud, Target and others caught in the anti-Pride backlash

Pride Month merchandise is displayed at a Target store on May 31, 2023 in San Francisco, California. 

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

Even before Pride month was underway, it seems as if it was open season on companies celebrating the LGBTQ community.

One by one, companies have come under an expanding attack. Anheuser-Busch, Target, Kohl’s and VF Corp.’s North Face brand have all felt the vitriol of this latest push from the right. And the list keeps growing. These companies have been branded as “woke capitalists” — and worse — as critics urged boycotts of these companies’ products. Bud Light came into the crosshairs after it struck a partnership with trans influencer Dylan Mulvaney, while North Face received backlash for an ad featuring drag queen Pattie Gonia. Target and Kohl’s have been criticized for Pride-themed clothing.

related investing news

Lululemon shares surge after quarterly earnings beat. How to play the stock now

CNBC Pro

While it’s too early to say how successful these efforts will be in lowering sales at the companies recently drawn into this attack, damage has been done to the stocks already. And some on Wall Street expect that to continue with analysts recently downgrading Target’s and Anheuser-Bush’s ratings, citing in part the ongoing controversy.

“The main reason boycotts generally are effective is because they threaten the reputation of the company by putting the company in a negative media spotlight, and companies don’t want to have negative attention of any kind drawn to them,” said Brayden King, a professor of management and organizations, who has studied how boycotts impact company stock prices, in an interview.

King’s research focused on 133 separate boycotts launched between 1990 and 2005, in a study that was published in 2011. About a quarter of the 177 companies targeted by these actions offered a concession to protestors.

“They often concede to boycotter’s demands, not because they feel that there’s sales pressure on them, but rather because they don’t want to continue to be a target of negative media attention,” he said.

King’s research found that the stock of a company will fall about 1% each day of national print media coverage. But once the issue falls out of the daily news cycle, the stock generally recovers.

Why Bud Light is an outlier

King sees Anheuser-Busch’s situation as an outlier because the controversy has harmed its sales. The company has been under fire for more than two months. Over that time, its stock is down more than 18%.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

hide content

Anheuser-Busch InBev shares hit a 52-week high of $67.09 on March 31.

“With 7 weeks of data, the consumer backlash at Bud Light seems quite durable,” said Cowen analyst Vivien Azer, in a research note Friday. “This is not a surprise to us, given how violent the responses were to Bud Light on social media. Indeed, in each of the last five weeks, we have seen Miller Lite and Coors Light gain over 200 bps of market share from Bud Light (where market share fell 390 bps most recently).”

Cowen’s consumer research suggests Molson Coors will be able to maintain the market share it’s gaining.

“Relative to Miller Lite and Coors Light, the Bud Light brand seems to skew to white consumers, men, younger consumers and lower-income consumers. The income bias toward Bud Light, we believe, is a key factor in driving the durable market share gains to TAP,” Azer explained.

Molson Coors shares are up 24% over the past two months, as analysts have spotlighted the market share gains it’s making.

Bud Light has tried to win back customers with a $15 off rebate program on Budweiser, Bud Light, Bud Select and Bud Select 55. While shoppers will need to put out money for the purchases on the front end, once the rebate is processed, the product is essentially free, according to Azer.

Will this be enough to soothe angry consumers? She’s unconvinced.

“Recall there were consumers that were happy to destroy beer they had already purchased,” she said.

Budweiser beer in the brewery section at a Walmart Supercenter on March 02, 2023 in Austin, Texas. 

Brandon Bell | Getty Images

There are several factors contributing to the impact the Bud Light boycott is having on sales that are specific to the beer category, according to King. He said, the first is that a bar, restaurant or music venue could remove the product, which takes the decision away from consumer. Then, there is the social nature of drinking.

“When you’re purchasing something in private, there’s nobody looking over your shoulder to hold you accountable,” King said. However, beer may be purchased to drink with friends so there could be more social pressure, he said.

Companies on edge

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

hide content

Target’s stock hit a 52-week low on Thursday.

Target’s stock has fallen about 10% since news broke on May 24. But shares were already trending lower after the retailer’s earnings report showed weakness in parts of its business.

Meanwhile, both VF Corp. and Kohl’s shares seemed to be bouncing back on Friday. After recovering some lost ground, the North Face parent is down about 9% since it launched its “Summer of Pride” ad on May 23. Kohl’s shares rose nearly 12% on Friday, recouping nearly all of the ground it lost. But the stock sank as low as $17.89 on Thursday, its lowest level since May 22, 2020.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

hide content

VF Corp. shares traded as low as $16.77 on Thursday.

Target’s stock sank to a 52-week low of $126.75 on Thursday, following a downgrade by JPMorgan to neutral. While analyst Christopher Horvers cited a weakening consumer as the primary reason that he expects tougher times ahead for the discount retailer, the recent controversies were mentioned as a factor in the decision. Horvers slashed his price target to $144 from $182.

Meanwhile, Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly said the recent pullback in the stock’s price might have been seen as a buying opportunity prior to this issue.

“The current stock price could have been a good entry point, but it’s hard to step in front of the current uncertainty,” Kelly wrote in a research note Thursday.

Kelly said that he has seen “early evidence of some near-term financial impact.” Among the factors he cited was Placer.ai data that showed foot traffic at Target stores was soft in the week ended May 28.

“Traffic has been a key bright spot for TGT as it struggled with margin issues, and a slowdown would be negative. It remains to be seen how long any impact would last,” Kelly said.

Issues give brands ‘powerful gravitational pull’

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

hide content

Kohl’s shares on Thursday hit a low of $17.89, the stock’s lowest level since May 22, 2020, when it traded as low as $17.19.

“So a bit of … why it is so attractive to align with purpose and these sorts of issues is that … it gives you an opportunity to link more deeply with consumers,” Reed said. Even though it can go awry, the upside can be powerful because the connection “has powerful gravitational pull,” he said.

In fact, those strong relationships are usually why boycotts fail to hurt a company’s sales longer term, according to King. He said research has shown that for every consumer that stops buying a product another shopper will begin a “buycott” by purchasing items to show their support for the opposite side of the issue.

Still, with threats coming from both sides of the issue, and stocks suffering sharp selloffs, companies may proceed a bit more cautiously.

“They may internally continue to embrace those values as important to their culture and identity, but externally they may be more risk adverse in terms of how they communicate those values,” King said.

—CNBC’s Christopher Hayes contributed to this report.

TipRanks reveals the top 10 consumer goods sector analysts of the past decade

TipRanks reveals the top 10 consumer goods sector analysts of the past decade

A Citibank sign in front of one of the company’s offices in California.

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

Over the past decade, rising household incomes have helped boost the consumer goods sector, providing a great investment opportunity for those who know where to look.

TipRanks recognized Wall Street’s 10 best analysts in the consumer goods sector for identifying the best investment opportunities. These analysts outperformed their peers with their stock picking and generated significant returns through their recommendations.

related investing news

Wall Street analysts say these stocks have more room to run through the rest of 2023

CNBC Pro

TipRanks used its Experts Center tool to identify the pros with a high success rate, and analyzed each stock recommendation made by analysts in the consumer goods sector over the past decade. 

The ranking highlights the analysts’ ability to deliver returns from their recommendations. TipRanks’ algorithms calculated the statistical significance of each rating, the analysts’ overall success rate and the average return. Further, each rating was measured over one year.

Top 10 analysts from the consumer goods sector

The image below shows the most successful Wall Street analysts from the consumer goods sector.

1. John Baugh – Stifel Nicolaus 

John Baugh tops the list. Baugh has an overall success rate of 63%. His best rating has been on RH (NYSE:RH), a leading retailer of luxury home furnishings. His buy call on RH stock from March 31, 2020, to March 31, 2021, generated a solid return of 493.8%.

2. Paul Quinn – RBC

Paul Quinn is second on this list and has a success rate of 58%. Quinn’s top recommendation is Interfor (TSE:IFP), a Canadian company offering a diverse range of lumber products. The analyst generated a profit of 440.2% through his buy recommendation on Interfor stock from May 8, 2020, to May 8, 2021.

3. Anthony Pettinari – Citi

Citi analyst Anthony Pettinari ranks No. 3 on the list. Pettinari has a success rate of 69%. His best recommendation has been on Lennar (NYSE:LEN), a home construction company. The analyst generated a return of 161.2% through a buy recommendation on LEN from April 15, 2020, to April 15, 2021. 

4. Sam Poser – Williams Trading 

Sam Poser bags the fourth spot on the list. The analyst has a 53% overall success rate. Poser’s best recommendation has been on Crocs (NASDAQ:CROX), a footwear company. His buy call on CROX stock generated a 375.5% return from May 13, 2020, to May 13, 2021.

5. Martin Landry – Stifel Nicolaus

Fifth-place analyst Martin Landry has a success rate of 57%. His best recommendation is Canopy Growth (TSE:WEED), a Canadian cannabis company. The analyst delivered a profit on this stock of 580.8% from Sept. 8, 2017, to Sept. 8, 2018.

6. Toshiya Hari – Goldman Sachs

Taking the sixth position is Toshiya Hari. The analyst has a success rate of 62%. His top recommendation was for leading chip company Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). Through his buy call on NVDA stock, Hari generated a solid return of 206.4% from June 2, 2016, to June 2, 2017.

7. Chip Moore – EF Hutton

EF Hutton analyst Chip Moore is seventh on this list, with a success rate of 61%. Moore’s best call has been a buy on the shares of Plug Power (NASDAQ:PLUG), a company focused on developing hydrogen fuel cell systems. The recommendation generated a return of 382.5% from Sept.19, 2019, to Sept. 19, 2020.

8. Michael Swartz – Truist Financial 

In the eighth position is Michael Swartz of Truist Financial. Swartz has an overall success rate of 49%. The analyst’s top recommendation is MarineMax (NYSE:HZO), a retailer of recreational boats and yachts. Based on his buy call on HZO, Swartz generated a profit of 609.6% from March 20, 2020, to March 20, 2021. 

9. Nik Modi – RBC

Nik Modi ranks ninth on the list. The analyst sports a 65% success rate. His top recommendation has been on Boston Beer (NYSE:SAM), offering craft-brewed beers. The buy recommendation generated a return of 230.2% from March 23, 2020, to March 23, 2021.

10. Mark Astrachan – Stifel Nicolaus

Mark Astrachan has the 10th spot on the list, with a success rate of 65%. Astrachan’s best call has been a buy on shares of Celsius Holdings (NASDAQ:CELH), a consumer packaged goods company focused on lifestyle energy drinks. The recommendation generated a return of 174.5% from May 11, 2022, to May 11, 2023.

Bottom line

Investors can follow the ratings of top analysts to help them make an informed investment decision. We will soon return with the top 10 analysts of the past decade in the service sector.

Here’s why Shake Shack’s recent deal with Engaged Capital may have fallen short for shareholders

Here’s why Shake Shack’s recent deal with Engaged Capital may have fallen short for shareholders

Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

Company: Shake Shack (SHAK)

Business: Shake Shack owns, operates and licenses Shake Shack restaurants, which offer hamburgers, chicken, hot dogs, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine and other products. The company was originally founded in 2001 by Danny Meyer’s Union Square Hospitality Group. The company has owned restaurants in every region of the U.S. and licensed locations across the Middle East, Asia and the United Kingdom.

Stock Market Value: $2.76B ($65.40 per share)

Activist: Engaged Capital

Percentage Ownership: 6.6%

Average Cost: n/a

Activist Commentary: Engaged Capital was founded by Glenn W. Welling, a former principal and managing director at Relational Investors. Engaged is an experienced and successful small cap investor and makes investments with a two-to-five-year investment horizon. Its style is holding management and boards accountable behind closed doors.

What’s happening?

Shake Shack entered a cooperation agreement with Engaged. As part of that agreement, the restaurant chain appointed Jeffrey D. Lawrence, former CFO of Domino’s Pizza, to its board and agreed to work with Engaged to identify an additional mutually agreed upon independent director to appoint to the Shake Shack board with restaurant operations experience.

Behind the scenes

Shake Shack is an iconic fast-casual restaurant founded by a culinary visionary, Danny Meyer. Through Union Square Hospitality Group, Meyer founded and operated some of the most critically acclaimed gourmet restaurants in the world for many years. Over the past 20 years, he and his team have developed one of the greatest casual hamburger chain restaurants in the country, Shake Shack. They took Shake Shack public in 2015 with 63 restaurants and have expanded to 436 restaurants in eight years.

Much of the senior management team came from Union Square Hospitality Group and the fine dining industry. Perhaps most notably the CEO, Randy Garutti, has a long history working with Meyer and was the general manager at Union Square Café and Tabla in New York City. The problem is that the same skillset required to create a brand and run upscale, gourmet restaurants is not the same skillset needed to operate and scale a quick-service restaurant. In fact, some might say it is a completely opposite skillset. Accordingly, restaurant margins at Shake Shack have declined by 790 basis points since 2018 and corporate return on capital has gone from greater than 30% to less than zero today. As a public company, Shake Shack has significantly underperformed both the market and its peers.

The good news is that the hard part – creating an iconic brand – has already been done. Not many people can do that. The easy part – scaling an already strong and growing brand – has been done by innumerable people, many of whom are available to do it again. This means getting a board that is focused on putting together a management team with experience operating and expanding quick-service or fast-casual restaurants and holding that team accountable if they do not succeed.

To that end, Engaged announced that it had identified three new director candidates and was pushing for the company to retain an operational consulting firm. One of these candidates, Kevin Reddy, has extensive experience operating and growing restaurant chains like Chipotle. Another candidate is a co-founder of Engaged, and the other is an experienced advisor and consultant. Because the board is staggered, only four of 11 directors are up for election this year. That is only the tip of the iceberg of the challenges Engaged faces in this campaign as this is as bad of a corporate governance structure as we have seen in a public company.

Meyer controls just under 9% of the company’s shares, but he holds special rights over corporate actions that far exceed his economic ownership, including (i) the ability to appoint five directors; (ii) the ability to designate 50% of the members of each committee of the board; (iii) hiring or firing the CEO; and (iv) increasing or decreasing the size of the board. In other words, this is Meyer’s company and only he can make significant changes.

As a result, this is a crusade of persuasion for Engaged. Engaged had an opportunity to go to a proxy fight and have the shareholders replace three incumbent directors, including the CEO, with new directors. While this would not have given Engaged or the new board the power to overrule anything Meyer and his incumbent directors wanted, it would have sent a strong message to them that the shareholders expected change. Instead, Engaged settled for one director who was not even one of the three they proposed and a second to be agreed upon, which also will not likely be one of the three the firm proposed.

This is a definite victory for the company as there is very little one director could do on a board like this. It allows Engaged to claim a win, but the firm is still reliant on Meyer’s decisions, and it lost a valuable opportunity to send a message to management. This effectively changes nothing and gives Engaged no more power to institute the changes it so astutely identified to create shareholder value. Identifying the problems is one thing and having a path to fix them is entirely different. The path here is completely controlled by management.

Ken Squire is the founder and president of 13D Monitor, an institutional research service on shareholder activism, and the founder and portfolio manager of the 13D Activist Fund, a mutual fund that invests in a portfolio of activist 13D investments.

Paramount pops after Buffett's favorite banker makes 'interesting' bet in media giant's key shareholder

Paramount pops after Buffett’s favorite banker makes ‘interesting’ bet in media giant’s key shareholder

The Paramount logo is displayed at Columbia Square along Sunset Blvd in Hollywood, California on March 9, 2023.

Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty Images

Paramount Global shares jumped more than 5% on Friday after an investor known as Warren Buffett’s favorite banker piled into the media company’s controlling shareholder.

National Amusements, Paramount’s majority voting shareholder, announced Thursday afternoon that it has entered into an agreement for a $125 million preferred equity investment by BDT Capital Partners.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

hide content

Paramount

Some Buffett watchers noticed a curious connection with the news. BDT Capital’s chairman and co-CEO is Byron Trott, who has long been known as Buffett’s preferred and trusted banker. It was Trott who suggested that Buffett put a $5 billion lifeline in Goldman Sachs during the 2008 financial crisis.

The connection didn’t end there. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is actually Paramount’s biggest institutional investor with a stake of 15.4%, according to FactSet. Berkshire initially took the stake in the first quarter of 2022, and the bet is worth about $1.32 billion after Paramount’s recent sell-off.

Paramount has slid more than 30% since the start of the second quarter after its quarterly earnings and revenue missed analyst estimates, and the CBS parent slashed its quarterly dividend.

“So what we now have here is Trott having a say on what happens at NAI. And NAI having a say in what happens to Buffett’s 15% stake in PARA,” Don Bilson, head of event-driven research at Gordon Haskett, said in a note. “Where this goes is TBD but with Buffett and his banker in the mix, this situation is more interesting today than it was when the week began.”

‘Not good news’

Asked about Paramount at Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting early May, Buffett, 92, struck a negative tone about the big dividend cut, while signaling his pessimistic outlook for the streaming business.

“It’s not good news when any company passes its dividend, or cuts its dividend dramatically,” Buffett said. “The streaming business is extremely interesting to watch …there’s a lot of companies doing it. And you need fewer companies or you need higher prices. And, well, you need higher prices or it doesn’t work.”

It was unclear if it was Buffett who bought the Paramount position or his investing lieutenants, Ted Weschler and Todd Combs, each of whom oversees $15 billion at Berkshire.

Upgrade from Loop

Loop Capital on Friday upgraded Paramount to a hold rating from a sell in light of the BDT investment. The Wall Street firm said the bull case is that the financial pressure will force Paramount to find a buyer and shareholders will achieve private market value.

“While we still believe a turnaround of PARA will be a challenge, investors’ perception of the company could change with a motivated seller, clever bankers, and Berkshire’s purse strings,” Loop Capital said in a note.

TipRanks reveals the top 10 health care sector analysts of the past decade

TipRanks reveals the top 10 health care sector analysts of the past decade

A customer used an automated teller machine (ATM) at a Truist Bank branch in Dallas, Texas, US, on Friday, April 14, 2023.

Shelby Tauber | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The health care sector experienced rapid change over the past decade with the rise of digital services, bringing a range of opportunities to invest. 

TipRanks recognized Wall Street’s 10-best analysts in the space for identifying the best investment opportunities. These analysts outdid their peers with their stock picking and generated noteworthy returns through their recommendations.

TipRanks leveraged its Experts Center tool to recognize the ones with a high success rate. We also analyzed each stock recommendation made by health care sector analysts in the past decade. 

The ranking shows the analysts’ ability to deliver returns from their recommendations. TipRanks’ algorithms calculated the statistical significance of each rating, average return and the analysts’ overall success rate. In addition, every rating was measured over one year.

Top 10 analysts from the healthcare sector

The image shows the most successful Wall Street analysts from the healthcare sector, in descending order.

1. Thomas Smith – SVB Securities 

Thomas Smith tops the list. Smith has an overall success rate of 51%. His best rating has been on Viking Therapeutics (NASDAQ:VKTX), a clinical-stage biopharma company focusing on therapies for metabolic and endocrine disorders. His buy call on VKTX stock from April 27, 2022 to April 27, 2023 generated a stellar return of 791.30%.

2. Brandon Couillard – Jefferies 

Brandon Couillard is second on this list and has a success rate of 68%. Couillard’s top recommendation is Exact Sciences (NASDAQ:EXAS), a provider of cancer screening and diagnostic tests. The analyst generated a profit of 450% through his buy recommendation on Exact Sciences stock from May 4, 2016 to May 4, 2017. 

3. David Windley – Jefferies 

Jefferies analyst David Windley ranks No. 3 on the list. Windley has a success rate of 68%. His best recommendation has been on Medidata Solutions, a tech-based company with clinical expertise. Dassault Systemes later acquired Medidata. The analyst generated a turn of 175.70% through a buy recommendation on MDSO from Aug. 01, 2012 to Aug. 01, 2013.

4. John Eade – Argus Research 

John Eade bags the fourth spot on the list. The five-star analyst has a 69% overall success rate. Eade’s best recommendation has been on Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), a pharmaceutical and biotechnology company. His buy call on MRNA stock generated a 265.90% return from June 30, 2020 to June 30, 2021.

5. Michael Wiederhorn – Oppenheimer

Fifth-place analyst Michael Wiederhorn has a success rate of 66%. His best recommendation is Community Health Systems (NYSE:CYH), a company engaged in the management and operations of hospitals. The analyst delivered a profit on this stock of 298.2% from May 1, 2020 to May 1, 2021.

6. Charles Duncan – Cantor Fitzgerald

Taking the sixth position is Charles Duncan. The analyst has a success rate of 52%. His top recommendation was Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), a biotech company that develops vaccines. Through his buy call on NVAX stock, Duncan generated a solid return of 800% from March 17, 2020 to March 17, 2021.

7. Yaron Werber – TD Cowen

TD Cowen analyst Yaron Werber is seventh on this list, with a success rate of 65%. Werber’s best call has been a buy on the shares of Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ:RARE), a biopharma company focusing on developing innovative medicines for rare and ultrarare diseases. The recommendation generated a return of 267.50% from Dec. 18, 2019 to Dec. 18, 2020.

8. Geulah Livshits – Chardan Capital

In the eighth position is Geulah Livshits of Chardan Capital. Livshits has an overall success rate of 42%. The analyst’s top recommendation is Cabaletta Bio (NASDAQ:CABA), a clinical-stage biotech company focused on developing therapies for autoimmune diseases. Based on her buy call on CABA, the analyst generated a profit of 800% from Oct. 11, 2022 through now. 

9. Richard Newitter – Truist Financial

Richard Newitter ranks ninth on the list. The five-star analyst sports a 62% success rate. His top recommendation has been on Organogenesis (NASDAQ:ORGO), a regenerative medicine company providing products for advanced wound care and surgical biologics. The buy recommendation generated a return of 397.9% from May 12, 2020 to May 12, 2021.

10. Boris Peaker – TD Cowen

Bottom Line

Investors could follow the recommendations of top analysts to form a well-informed investment decision. You can also look at all the analysts who made it to the top 100 list. We will soon return with the top 10 analysts of the past 10 years from the Consumer Goods sector.

TipRanks reveals the top 10 financial sector analysts of the past decade

TipRanks reveals the top 10 financial sector analysts of the past decade

A screen displays the trading information for Morgan Stanley on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), January 19, 2022.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

The financial sector witnessed a rapid transformation over the past decade, with technology reshaping the processes of lending, wealth management and payments.

The transformation also brought opportunities to invest. TipRanks recognizes Wall Street’s 10 best financial sector analysts for capturing the best investment opportunities. These analysts outperformed in their stock picking and earned significant returns from their recommendations.

related investing news

Analysts say these 11 top-performing stocks are set to soar even more — giving one over 85% upside

CNBC Pro

TipRanks has used its Experts Center tool to identify the top 10 analysts who have a high success rate. To create this list, TipRanks analyzed every recommendation made by financial sector analysts in the past decade. 

The ranking reflects the analysts’ ability to generate returns from their stock recommendations and price targets. TipRanks’ algorithms calculated the average return, statistical significance of each rating, and the analysts’ overall success rate. Further, each rating was measured over one year.

Top 10 analysts from the financial sector

The image shows the most successful Wall Street analysts from the financial sector, in descending order.

1. Moshe Orenbuch – Credit Suisse

2. Mark Rothschild – Canaccord Genuity

Mark Rothschild is second on this list and has a success rate of 72%. Rothschild’s top recommendation has been on a Canadian real estate investment firm, Dream Unlimited (TSE:DRM). The analyst generated a profit of 108% through his buy recommendation on Dream Unlimited from Feb. 24, 2021, to Feb. 24, 2022.

3. Bill Carcache – Wolfe Research

Wolfe Research analyst Bill Carcache ranks No. 3 on TipRanks’ top 10 financial analysts list. Carcache has a success rate of 71%. His best recommendation has been on Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS), a digital banking and payment services provider and credit card issuer. The analyst generated a return of 287% through a buy recommendation on DFS from March 20, 2020, to March 20, 2021.

4. Steve Manaker – Stifel Nicolaus

Steve Manaker bags the fourth spot on this list. The five-star analyst has a 71% overall success rate. Manaker’s best recommendation has been on Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR), a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the regulated cannabis industry. His buy call on IIPR stock generated a 250% return from June 26, 2018, to June 26, 2019.

5. Bose George – KBW

Fifth-place analyst Bose George has a success rate of 71%. His best recommendation has been Mr. Cooper Group (NASDAQ:COOP), a leading home loan servicer and originator. The analyst delivered a profit of 179% from July 7, 2020, to July 7, 2021.

6. Gerard Cassidy – RBC Capital

Taking the sixth position is Gerard Cassidy. The analyst has a success rate of 58%. His top recommendation was Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB), a Cincinnati-based regional bank. Through his buy call on FITB stock, Cassidy generated a return of 139% from April 8, 2020, to April 8, 2021.

7. Susan Roth Katzke – Credit Suisse

8. Mark Dwelle – RBC Capital

9. Ken Usdin – Jefferies

10. Robert Dodd – Raymond James

Robert Dodd has the 10th spot on the list, with a success rate of 69%. Dodd’s best call has been a buy on the shares of WhiteHorse Finance (NASDAQ:WHF), a business development company that offers loans to privately-held lower-middle-market corporations. The recommendation generated a return of 150% from April 13, 2020, to April 13, 2021.

Bottom Line

Retail investors could follow the ratings of these top financial analysts to make informed investment decisions. These analysts generated significant returns from their recommendations in the past decade. 

You can also look at all the analysts who feature in the top 100 list. We will soon return with the top 10 analysts of the past 10 years from the healthcare sector.

ESG concerns are growing as artificial intelligence becomes more popular. What investors need to know

ESG concerns are growing as artificial intelligence becomes more popular. What investors need to know

Userba011d64_201 | Istock | Getty Images

Wall Street has eagerly rallied around companies making notable strides in artificial intelligence. However, several investors warn that the increasingly widespread deployment of AI has opened a “Pandora’s box” of environmental, social and corporate governance, or ESG, concerns.

Generative AI models — ChatGPT being the most prominent example — have already been implemented in technical roles, such as financial analytics and drug development, as well as more human-facing sectors such as customer service and marketing

related investing news

Amid the quick rise and implementation of AI across industries, some investors worry that the potential ESG downsides haven’t been adequately considered and safeguarded against. 

Investors have called for more transparency and data from companies on how they’re using and investing in AI technology. The current lack of sufficient data from U.S. companies means the space is currently “the Wild West,” as described by Thomas Martin, a senior portfolio manager who runs ESG strategy at Globalt. 

“If you’re an ESG-focused investor, you’re dependent on the information that you get. The companies aren’t providing that yet, except the things that will make you imagine things. You can’t base an evaluation based on something you’re imaging, or don’t know if it’s true or accurate, or when it’s coming,” Martin said. “There has to be information that’s out there that comes from the companies themselves and how they’re using [AI].”

Lack of transparency and safeguards

Technology’s moving so quickly, and I think this is the most disruptive from a social fabric standpoint. It’s actually pretty damn scary. And I’m an engineer by trade, and I’ve been doing this for 30 years. … You know, what I do for a living can probably be replaced in two to three years.

Ted Mortonson

managing director, Baird

Ted Mortonson, managing director at Baird, warned that he sees AI in a similar position to where bitcoin was a few years prior, noting that the U.S. regulatory framework is “not set up for very extreme technology advances.” He added Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella’s comments during the company’s earnings Q&A that it has “taken the approach that we are not waiting for regulation to show up” did not bode well.

“For my clients, that rubbed a lot of people the wrong way. Because this is a social issue,” he said. “I mean, if the [Federal Reserve] wants unemployment to go up and a weakening economy, generative AI is going to do it for them.”

Assessing ESG impacts

While there is no standardized methodology to quantify the exact ESG impacts of a given AI-related investment, there are certain considerations investors can take. 

Morgan Stanley created a three-pronged approach for assessing impact for AI-ESG driven investments: 

  1. Assessing how an AI investment can reduce harm to our environment — such as by driving energy efficiencies, preserving biodiversity and reducing waste. 
  2. Examining how AI enhances people’s lives, such as by improving interactions between people and businesses. 
  3. Driving AI technology advancements — being a “key player or enabler across the AI ecosystem to make businesses and society better.” 

The firm characterizes the first two as likely requiring a low- to high- level of effort from investors. It notes that the final step likely requires a high level of engagement. 

Some investors believe AI itself can help investors monitor and track ESG efforts by companies. Sarah Hargreaves, head of sustainability for Commonwealth Financial Network, said AI could be particularly useful for investors to compare the environmental impacts of their investments alongside current and forthcoming regulatory standards.

“I’d also think that AI’s ability to manage and optimize relative ESG data would be particularly relevant for investors looking to delineate between dedicated ESG investments versus those subject to greenwashing,” she wrote in an email to CNBC.  

Baird’s Mortonson also mentioned that tech companies themselves could make AI-ESG analysis easier. He noted that databases and cloud-based companies such as ServiceNow and Snowflake are “incredibly well-positioned with Next Generation AI” to release accurate and detailed ESG data given the significant amounts of data they store.

Employment obsolescence

As AI gains more capabilities and becomes more widely implemented, concerns over job displacement — and potentially obsolescence— have emerged as some of the biggest social concerns. 

The Stanford report, which was published earlier this year, found that only 18% of Americans are more excited than concerned about AI technology — with the foremost concern being “loss of human jobs.” 

Additionally, a recent study by professors at Princeton, the University of Pennsylvania and New York University suggested that high-income, white-collar jobs may be the most exposed to changes from generative AI. 

It added that policy to help minimize any disruptions stemming from AI-related job losses “is particularly important” as the effects of generative AI will disproportionately target certain occupations and demographics. 

“From a social standpoint, it will impact employment, both blue-collar and white-collar employment, I would say materially in the next five to 10 years,” Mortonson said.

Globalt’s Martin sees such losses as part of the natural cycle of technological advancements.

“You can’t stop innovation anyway; it’s just human nature. But it frees us up to do more, with less, and to foster growth. And AI will do that,” said Martin.  

“Are some jobs gonna go away? Yeah, most likely. Will aspects of jobs get better? Absolutely. Will that mean that there will be new things to do? That even the people who are doing the old things can do and move into and migrate into? Absolutely.”

Mortonson was less sanguine. 

“The genie’s out of the bottle,” he said, noting that companies are likely to embrace AI because it can boost earnings. “You just don’t need as many people doing what they’re doing on a day-to-day basis. This next generation of AI [is] basically bypassing the human brain of what a human brain can do.”

“Technology’s moving so quickly, and I think this is the most disruptive from a social fabric standpoint. It’s actually pretty damn scary. And I’m an engineer by trade, and I’ve been doing this for 30 years,” he said. “You know, what I do for a living can probably be replaced in two to three years.”

Here are the top 10 tech stock analysts of the past decade, according to TipRanks

Here are the top 10 tech stock analysts of the past decade, according to TipRanks

2016A statue is seen next to the logo of Germany’s Deutsche Bank in Frankfurt, Germany.

Kai Pfaffenbach | Reuters

Technology stocks outperformed the broader markets over the past decade. Thanks to the bull run, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) gained over 356% in value compared with a 160% rise in the S&P 500 Index (SPX). 

As technology stocks shone in the past decade, TipRanks recognizes the 10 best analysts on Wall Street from this sector. Some analysts have outperformed on their stock-picking journey and earned significant returns from their recommendations.

TipRanks has analyzed each stock recommendation made by tech sector analysts in the past decade to come up with this list. The ranking reflects the analysts’ ability to generate returns with their stock ratings and price targets.

TipRanks’ algorithms calculated the average return and statistical significance of each rating, as well as the analysts’ overall success rate. Each rating made during the past decade was measured over one year.

TipRanks leveraged its Experts Center tool to identify the top ten analysts with a high success rate.

Top 10 Analysts from the Tech Sector

1. Mark Lipacis – Jefferies

Mark Lipacis tops the list. Lipacis has an overall success rate of 71%. His best rating has been on chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA). His buy call on NVDA stock from Feb. 8, 2016, to Feb. 8, 2017, fetched an attractive return of 374.8%.

2. Rick Schafer – Oppenheimer

Rick Schafer is second on the list and has a success rate of 73%. His top recommendation has also been NVDA stock. The analyst generated a profit of 190.7% through his buy recommendation on Nvidia from Aug. 16, 2019, to Aug. 16, 2020.

3. Quinn Bolton – Needham

Needham analyst Quinn Bolton ranks No. 3 on TipRanks’ top 10 tech analysts list. Bolton has a success rate of 63%. Bolton’s best recommendation has been on ACM Research (ACMR), a semiconductor equipment manufacturing company. The analyst generated a return of 608.4% through a buy recommendation on ACMR from Aug. 19, 2019, to Aug. 19, 2020.

4. Colin Rusch – Oppenheimer

Colin Rusch bags the fourth spot on this list. The five-star analyst has a 54% overall success rate. Rusch’s best recommendation has been on Westport Fuel Systems (WPRT), a Canada-based engineering company that manufactures and supplies alternative fuel components and systems. His buy call on WPRT stock generated a stellar 800% return from March 18, 2020, to March 18, 2021.

5. Timothy Arcuri – UBS 

Fifth-place analyst Timothy Arcuri has a success rate of 69%. Like Lipacis and Schafer, Arcuri’s best recommendation has been NVDA. The analyst delivered a profit of 209% from Aug. 14, 2019, to Aug. 14, 2020.

6. Alex Zukin – Wolfe Research 

Taking the sixth position is Alex Zukin. The analyst has a success rate of 67%. His top recommendation has been Asana (ASAN), a work management platform. Through his Buy call on ASAN stock, Zukin generated a solid return of 431.6% from Oct. 26, 2020, to Oct. 26, 2021. 

7. Ross Seymore – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore is seventh on this list, with a success rate of 74%. Seymore’s best call has been a Buy on the shares of Ambarella (AMBA), a fabless semiconductor design company. The recommendation fetched a return of 150% from Nov. 5, 2012, to Nov. 5, 2013.

8. Shaul Eyal – TD Cowen

In the eighth position is Shaul Eyal of TD Cowen. Eyal’s has an overall success rate of 66%. His top recommendation is Cloudflare (NET), a provider of security solutions. Based on his Buy call on NET, he generated a profit of 384.2% from Feb.14, 2020, to Feb. 14, 2021.

9. Christopher Rolland – Susquehanna 

Christopher Rolland ranks 9 on the list. The five-star analyst enjoys a 68% success rate. His top recommendation has been on On Semiconductor (ON), a semiconductor supplier. Based on his buy call, Rolland generated a return of 280.5% from April 2, 2020, to April 2, 2021.

10. Brian Schwartz – Oppenheimer

Brian Schwartz has the 10th spot on the list. He has a success rate of 67%. Schwartz’s best call has been a buy on the shares of Trade Desk (TTD), a technology platform for buyers of advertising. The recommendation fetched a return of 337.8% from March 19, 2020, to March 19, 2021.

Bottom Line

Warren Buffett says Berkshire Hathaway won't take full control of Occidental Petroleum

Warren Buffett says Berkshire Hathaway won’t take full control of Occidental Petroleum

Warren Buffett on oil: We like Occidental's position in the Permian Basin

Follow our live coverage of Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway meeting.

OMAHA, Neb. — Warren Buffett said Saturday that Berkshire Hathaway doesn’t plan on taking full control of Occidental Petroleum, an oil giant where it has amassed a stake north of 20%.

related investing news

“There’s speculation about us buying control, we’re not going to buy control,” the ‘Oracle of Omaha’ said at Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting. “We wouldn’t know what to do with it.”

In August last year, Berkshire received regulatory approval to purchase as much as a 50% stake. Since then, Buffett has been steadily adding to his bet, including this year, boosting the conglomerate’s stake in the Houston-based energy producer to 23.5%. The moves had fueled speculation that the 92-year-old investor could acquire the whole company.

“We will not be making any offer for control of Occidental, but we love the shares we have,” Buffett said. “We may or may not own more in the future but we certainly have warrants on what we got on the original deal on a very substantial amount of stock around $59 a share, and warrants last a long time, and I’m glad we have them.”

Berkshire owns $10 billion of Occidental preferred stock, and has warrants to buy another 83.9 million common shares for $5 billion, or $59.62 each. The warrants were obtained as part of the company’s 2019 deal that helped finance Occidental’s purchase of Anadarko.

Shares of Occidental were down about 3% this year, after more than doubling in 2022. The stock was the best-performing name in the S&P 500 last year.

— CNBC’s Sarah Min contributed reporting.

Warren Buffett says American banks could face more turbulence ahead, but deposits are safe

Warren Buffett says American banks could face more turbulence ahead, but deposits are safe

Warren Buffett: We don't know where the shareholders of banks are heading

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett on Saturday assailed regulators, politicians and the media for confusing the public about the safety of U.S. banks and said that conditions could worsen from here.

Buffett, when asked about the recent tumult that led to the collapse of three mid-sized institutions since March, launched into a lengthy diatribe about the matter.

related investing news

Bill Nygren buys this regional bank with strong deposits, says 'inappropriate role' of short selling contributing to fears

CNBC Pro

“The situation in banking is very similar to what it’s always been in banking, which is that fear is contagious,” Buffett said. “Historically, sometimes the fear was justified, sometimes it wasn’t.”

Berkshire Hathaway has owned banks from early on in Buffett’s nearly six-decade history at the company, and he’s stepped up to inject confidence and capital into the industry on several occasions. In the early 1990s, Buffett served as CEO of Salomon Brothers, helping rehabilitate the Wall Street firm’s tattered reputation. More recently, he injected $5 billion into Goldman Sachs in 2008 and another $5 billion in Bank of America in 2011, helping stabilize both of those firms.

Ready to act

He remains ready, with his company’s formidable cash pile, to act again if the situation calls for it, Buffett said during his annual shareholders’ meeting.

“We want to be there if the banking system temporarily gets stalled in some way,” he said. “It shouldn’t, I don’t think it will, but it could.”

The core problem, as Buffett sees it, is that the public doesn’t understand that their bank deposits are safe, even those that are uninsured. The Berkshire CEO has said regulators and Congress would never allow depositors to lose a single dollar in a U.S. bank, even if they haven’t made that guarantee explicit.

The fear of regular Americans that they could lose their savings, combined with the ease of mobile banking, could lead to more bank runs. Meanwhile, Buffett said that he keeps his personal funds at a local institution, and isn’t worried despite exceeding the threshold for FDIC coverage.

“The messaging has been very poor, it’s been poor by the politicians who sometimes have an interest in having it poor,” he said. “It’s been poor by the agencies, and it’s been poor by the press.”

First Republic

Buffett also turned his ire on bank executives who took undue risks, saying that there should be “punishment” for bad behavior. Some bank executives may have sold company stock because they knew trouble was brewing, he added.

For example, First Republic, which was seized and sold to JPMorgan Chase after a deposit run, sold its customers jumbo mortgages at low rates, which was a “crazy proposition,” he said.

“If you run a bank and screw it up, and you’re still a rich guy… and the world goes on, that’s not a good lesson to teach people,” he said.

Berkshire has been unloading bank shares, including that of JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, since around the start of the 2020 pandemic.

Recent events have only “reconfirmed my belief that the American public doesn’t understand their banking system,” Buffett said.

He reiterated several times that he had no idea how the current situation will unfold.

“That’s the world we live in,” Buffett said. “It means that a lighted match can turn into a conflagration, or be blown out.”

Berkshire Hathaway's operating earnings increase 12% in the first quarter, cash hoard tops $130 billion

Berkshire Hathaway’s operating earnings increase 12% in the first quarter, cash hoard tops $130 billion

Berkshire's operating earnings increase 12% in the first quarter, cash hoard tops $130 billion

Earnings for Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway jumped in the first quarter, thanks in part to a rebound in the conglomerate’s insurance business.

Operating earnings, which encompass profits from the conglomerate’s fully-owned businesses, totaled $8.065 billion in the first quarter. That’s up 12.6% from $7.16 billion a year prior.

related investing news

Profit from insurance underwriting came in at $911 million, up sharply from $167 million a year prior. Insurance investment income also jumped 68% to $1.969 billion from $1.170 billion.

Geico saw a big turnaround in the quarter, returning to a big underwriting profit of $703 million. The auto insurer suffered a $1.9 billion pretax underwriting loss last year as it lost market share to competitor Progressive. Ajit Jain, Berkshire’s vice chairman of insurance operations, previously said the biggest culprit for Geico’s underperformance was telematics.

The company’s railroad business, BNSF, along with its energy company saw year-over-year earnings declines. Operations classified under “other controlled businesses” and “non-controlled businesses” had slight increases from the year-earlier period.

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting in Los Angeles, California. May 1, 2021.

Gerard Miller | CNBC

Berkshire’s cash hoard swelled to $130.616 billion from $128 billion in the fourth quarter of 2022. Berkshire also repurchased $4.4 billion worth of stock — the most since the first quarter of 2021 — up from $2.8 billion at the end of last year.

Berkshire’s net earnings, which includes short-term investment gains, increased to $35.5 billion in the quarter from $5.6 billion in the same period a year ago, reflecting a first quarter comeback in Warren Buffett’s equity investments, such as Apple. Though Buffett cautions investors to not pay attention to quarterly fluctuations in unrealized gains on investments.

The company’s latest quarterly results come ahead of the conglomerate’s annual shareholders meeting, an event known as “Woodstock for Capitalists.”

Berkshire Class A shares are up 4.9% this year through Friday’s close, lagging the S&P 500’s 7.7% advance. However, the stock is less than 3% below an all-time high.

— CNBC’s Yun Li contributed reporting.

Follow CNBC’s livestream of Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 annual meeting starting live at 9:45 a.m. ET Saturday here.

Follow live highlights and updates of the meeting here.

Impactive takes a stake in Clarivate and sets the tone for activism in the post-SPAC world

Impactive takes a stake in Clarivate and sets the tone for activism in the post-SPAC world

Eclipse_images | E+ | Getty Images

Company: Clarivate (CLVT)

Business: Clarivate is a global information, analytics and workflow solutions company. It operates through three segments: (i) Academia and Government, which is about 49% of revenue and comprised of information and software services used to conduct, evaluate, and disseminate research; (ii) Intellectual Property, which is roughly 33% of revenue and includes services used by large corporations and law firms to establish, protect and manage their intellectual property portfolios; and (iii) Life Sciences and Health-care, which is about 18% of revenue and made up of information platforms used by pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies to gain approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for new medications and bring them to market.

Stock Market Value: $5.16B ($7.65 per share)

Activist: Impactive Capital

Percentage Ownership:  n/a

Average Cost: n/a

Activist Commentary: Impactive Capital is an activist hedge fund founded in 2018 by Lauren Taylor Wolfe and Christian Alejandro Asmar. Impactive Capital is an active ESG (AESG) investor that launched with a $250 million investment from CalSTRS and now has over $2.5 billion. In just four years, they have made quite a name for themselves as AESG investors. Wolfe and Asmar realized that there was an opportunity to use tools, notably on the social and environmental side, to drive returns. Impactive focuses on positive systemic change to help build more competitive, sustainable businesses for the long run. Impactive will use all of the traditional operational, financial and strategic tools that activists use, but will also implement ESG change that it believes is material to the business and drives profitability of the company and shareholder value. Impactive looks for high quality businesses that are usually complex and mispriced, where it can underwrite a minimum of a high teens or low 20% internal rate of return over a three- to five-year holding period. The firm aims to have active engagement with management to set up multiple ways to win.

What’s Happening?

On April 27, Impactive announced that it took a stake in Clarivate.

Behind the Scenes

Clarivate went public via a special purpose acquisition company in 2019 and tripled the size of its business over three years through three transformative acquisitions. Their latest acquisitions were Patient Connect (December 2021), Bioinfogate (August 2021), and ProQuest (announced in May 2021). These acquisitions added high-quality and recurring revenue businesses that were adjacent to legacy IP lifecycle assets. However, they also added significant complexity, leverage, and execution challenges that drove the shares down roughly 70% from their peak and led Clarivate to trade at a significant discount to both peer and its own historical multiples. Clarivate currently trades at 11x enterprise value/earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization versus a peer average of 18x EBITDA and a historical average multiple of 21x EBITDA (as of April 4).

Clarivate has high-quality, recurring revenue that is mission critical to the day-to-day workflows of its customers and possesses 30% to 50% market share in its niches. It also enjoys resilient demand in economic downturns. The company’s products are critical inputs that facilitate drug discovery, support the development of key treatments — including the Covid vaccine — and help commercialize life-saving treatments in low-income countries. As with many SPAC companies, there were valuation, corporate governance and compensation incentive concerns at Clarivate. However, with the inevitable correction in the SPAC market, the stock has plummeted 75% from its highs, bringing it from overvalued to reasonably or undervalued. Moreover, the CEO and several board members have been replaced with a management team that would be amenable to working alongside an active stockholder like Impactive to create value for all shareholders.

This is a prime example of something we predicted years ago and is coming to fruition: SPAC mania is leading to a plethora of opportunities for activists. In their heyday, SPACs soared on hype with little regard to intrinsic value, even when the companies were run by founders who might not be the best candidates for a public company CEO. Now, many of these SPACs have come back to earth in valuation and are good companies at the right price, but they need a culture change so that they are managed by a CEO who has the stakeholders in mind. Clarivate seems to be on the way to that and will only get there quicker with the help of Impactive, who we expect to be an engaged shareholder here, as it is at all of its portfolio companies.

Ken Squire is the founder and president of 13D Monitor, an institutional research service on shareholder activism, and the founder and portfolio manager of the 13D Activist Fund, a mutual fund that invests in a portfolio of activist 13D investments.

Here’s what's going on at Warren Buffett’s shopping extravaganza for shareholders

Here’s what’s going on at Warren Buffett’s shopping extravaganza for shareholders

People at the See’s Candies display at the Berkshire Hathaway Shopping Day event, May 5, 2023.

David A. Grogan | CNBC

Berkshire Hathaway‘s annual shareholder meeting this weekend is kicking off with a shopping extravaganza.

Called the “Berkshire Bazaar of Bargains,” the shopping event is a tradition at the yearly convention. With over 20,000 square feet of showroom space and more than 50,000 items of inventory, the exhibit hall features goods from a myriad of the conglomerate’s holdings.

related investing news

This year, shareholders can snap up Warren Buffett-themed plush dolls from Squishmallows for the first time. They can also snag Buffett-themed apparel from Brooks Sports, as well as Berkshire chocolate coins from See’s Candies.

The event is held in downtown Omaha at the CHI Health Center. Only shareholders can participate at the event, and claim the discount.

CNBC and CNBC.com will exclusively cover the annual meeting starting Saturday at 10 a.m. ET.

Squishmallows

A person visits the Squishmallows display at the Berkshire Hathaway Shopping Day event, May 5, 2023.

David A. Grogan | CNBC

Yun Li | CNBC

This is Squishmallows’ first time ever at Berkshire’s shopping event, and the toy brand turned out to be a big hit. The plush toys attracted long lines at checkout with many shareholders snagging Warren Buffett cartoon dolls.

Yun Li | CNBC

An image of Warren Buffett at the Berkshire Hathaway Shopping Day, May 5, 2023.

Yun Li | CNBC

Berkshire got into Squishmallows through its acquisition of Alleghany, which closed in the fourth quarter of 2022. While Alleghany’s main business is insurance, the company is also a conglomerate. It owns a few non-financial businesses, including Jazwares, which is a U.S. toymaker with brands like Pokémon and Squishmallows.

See’s Candies

The See’s Candies display at the Berkshire Hathaway Shopping Day event, May 5, 2023.

Yun Li | CNBC

Yun Li | CNBC

The sweets at See’s Candies again drew a big crowd at the “Woodstock for Capitalists.” The “Berkshire Box” of chocolate featuring a dancing Buffett on the package was a popular item at the booth. So was chocolate walnut fudge, a favorite of the Oracle of Omaha. Buffett said See’s Candies sold 11 tons of peanut brittle and chocolates at last year’s event.

Brooks Sports

People wait on line at the Brooks display at the Berkshire Hathaway Shopping Day event, May 5, 2023.

Yun Li | CNBC

Investors could buy sneakers, socks and t-shirts bearing illustrations of Warren Buffett from the Brooks booth. They can also participate in the 5K run co-hosted by the sportswear company and Berkshire in downtown Omaha on Sunday morning.

Pampered Chef

The Pampered Chef display showing Warren Buffet at the Berkshire Hathaway Shopping Day event, May 5, 2023.

Yun Li | CNBC

A cardboard cutout of Warren Buffett in an apron greeted shoppers at the Pampered Chef booth, where investors could pick up kitchen tools — including a spatula with the Oracle of Omaha’s face on one side, and Charlie Munger’s on the other.

Borsheims

Jewelry display from Ruchi New York at Borsheims shareholder-only shopping night.

Yun Li | CNBC

Jewelry display from Ruchi New York at Borsheims shareholder-only shopping night

Yun Li | CNBC

There’s a separate shareholder-only shopping event at Borsheims, about 14 miles away from the main convention center. Berkshire shareholders browsed through one-of-a-kind jewelry, engagement rings and watches available for purchase at a discount. This seven-carat emerald ring from Ruchi New York is selling for $400,000 with 25% off (picture above, on the right).

Warren Buffett's successor Greg Abel is wooing shareholders, but some questions remain

Warren Buffett’s successor Greg Abel is wooing shareholders, but some questions remain

To say that Warren Buffett’s successor Greg Abel has big shoes to fill would be an understatement.

The vice chairman for non-insurance operations at Berkshire Hathaway recently joined Buffett in Japan to visit the country’s top trading houses. In a three-hour interview with CNBC, the 92-year-old “Oracle of Omaha” sang Abel’s praises, saying he’s taken on most of the responsibilities.

related investing news

7 stocks that fit Warren Buffett's buying criteria ahead of Berkshire's annual meeting

CNBC Pro
Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting is here: What to expect from Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger

CNBC Pro

“He does all the work, and I take the bows – it’s exactly what I wanted,” Buffett said in a CNBC interview in Japan on April 12. “He knows more about the individuals, the business, he’s seen them all…. they haven’t seen me at the BNSF Railroad for 10, 12 years or something like that.”

Abel became known as Buffett’s heir apparent in 2021 after Charlie Munger inadvertently made the revelation at the shareholder meeting. Abel has been overseeing a major portion of Berkshire’s sprawling empire, including energy, railroad and retail.

Buffett revealed that contrary to what many might’ve thought, there wasn’t any competition between Abel and Ajit Jain, Berkshire’s vice chairman of insurance operations, for the top job. The two of them had been viewed as top contenders since they were promoted to vice chairmen in 2018.

“Ajit never wanted to run Berkshire,” Buffett said.

Skin in the game

Abel recently loaded up on Berkshire Hathaway shares with his personal assets. The 60-year-old vice chairman added to his stake in Berkshire in March, bringing the total value of his holdings in the company to about $105 million.

The move increased his skin in the game and raised hopes among shareholders that the culture will continue at Berkshire.

“What really gives you some optimism for the future of Berkshire post Buffett Munger is him buying in a significant stake in the company,” said Bill Stone, chief investment officer at Glenview Trust and a Berkshire shareholder. “One of the beauties of Berkshire is that you always knew it was like an owner manager.”

Energy question

Abel is also known for his strong expertise in the energy industry. Berkshire acquired MidAmerican Energy in 1999, and Abel became CEO of MidAmerican Energy in 2008, six years before it was renamed Berkshire Hathaway Energy in 2014.

In 2022, Berkshire proposed spending nearly $4 billion to help generate more wind and solar power to Iowa. At the same time, the conglomerate has been dramatically increasing its exposure to two traditional energy companies — Occidental Petroleum and Chevron. Some shareholders want Abel to address these moves in the industry.

“That’s the question for him. Help us understand why you are simultaneously being aggressive with your solar and wind investments in Iowa, and buying oil and gas stocks at the same time,” said Bill Smead, Smead Capital Management chief investment officer and a Berkshire shareholder.

‘Time will tell’

While shareholders have grown more confident in Abel’s capabilities, some key questions about the eventual succession linger.

“When opportunities arise, who has the ultimate decision? Is it the board? How does dispute resolution work if there is a dispute,” said a Berkshire shareholder, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Abel’s track record of more than two decades at the conglomerate convinced Buffett that the two are on the same page in terms of deal-making and capital allocation.

 “It’s already improved dramatically, the management of Berkshire. And we think alike on acquisitions. We think alike on capital allocation. I mean, he’s a big improvement on me, but don’t tell anybody,” Buffett said in Japan.

Apart from Berkshire’s massive operations, the conglomerate has a gigantic equity portfolio worth north of $300 billion managed by Buffett. His two investing lieutenants, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, oversee about $15 billion each.

“Only time will tell. There are companies that have done exceptionally well after their founders passed, like Apple, but others have struggled, like GE,” said another long-time shareholder who asked not to be named.

Berkshire Hathaway is outperforming during turmoil, but Warren Buffett's favorite child Geico is in trouble

Berkshire Hathaway is outperforming during turmoil, but Warren Buffett’s favorite child Geico is in trouble

Display showing Gecko character for GEICO Insurance during the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska.

Yun Li | CNBC

Berkshire Hathaway shareholders attending this year’s meeting will want to know more about the company Warren Buffett once called his “favorite child” – the auto insurer Geico.

With tens of thousands of shareholders in attendance, Berkshire’s annual “Woodstock for Capitalists” will be held in Omaha, Nebraska, on Saturday, the second in-person gathering since 2019. (CNBC’s exclusive coverage of the event starts that day at 10 a.m. ET.)

related investing news

Berenberg names stocks to play A.I. transformation in the auto industry - including one expected to double

CNBC Pro
Stocks could be in for big gains ahead if this is the Fed's last rate hike, history shows

CNBC Pro

Geico, viewed as the crown jewel of Berkshire’s insurance empire, has found itself in a bit of a trouble recently after losing market share to its best competitor, Progressive, in 2022 with a widening gap in underwriting margins and growth, according to an analysis from UBS. Geico suffered a $1.9 billion pretax underwriting loss last year.

“I think it’s the biggest issue out there at the moment is really Geico,” said Bill Stone, chief investment officer at Glenview Trust and a Berkshire shareholder. “They’ve lost out to Progressive, who did a better job of implementing telematics … I’m certainly interested in a big update on that.”

Telematics programs allow insurers to collect clients’ driving data, including their mileage and speed.

Headquartered in Chevy Chase, Maryland, with more than 38,000 employees, Geico also experienced a 1.7 million decrease in active policies in 2022, after seeing stagnant growth in the previous year.

Ajit Jain, Berkshire’s vice chairman of insurance operations, said the biggest culprit for Geico’s underperformance is telematics.

“Progressive has been on the telematics bandwagon for … probably closer to 20 years. Geico, until recently, wasn’t involved in telematics,” Jain said at Berkshire’s 2022 meeting. “It’s been only the last two years that they’ve made a very serious effort, in terms of using telematics for segmentation and for trying to match rate and risk.”

Geico represents one area of weakness for Berkshire, which overall has been beating the broader market. Berkshire A shares hit a 52-week high Monday, briefly topping $500,000 again. The stock is up nearly 5% over the past month, while the S&P 500 has fallen roughly 0.6% amid the regional banking crisis.

The conglomerate tends to shine in a down market as many use it for downside protection given its diverse businesses and unmatched balance sheet strength.

First love

While Geico is only a relatively small percentage of Berkshire’s sprawling empire, Buffett does have a soft spot for the insurer as it’s one of the “Oracle of Omaha’s” first investments, and perhaps among the most successful.

Buffett learned about Geico from his professor and mentor Ben Graham, who was the chairman of the board at the insurer. In 1976, Buffett invested at $2 per share in Geico when it was in financial trouble, and Berkshire acquired the rest of the company in 1995.

“It was sort of Buffett’s first love,” said David Kass, a finance professor at the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business. “I think he has a strong emotional and sentimental attachment to it.”

Kass recalled Buffett referring to Geico as his “favorite child” during a meeting with his students in 2005.

Claims cost Inflation

Other than closing the gap in usage-based technology, investors also want to know if Geico is taking steps to offset loss cost inflation, triggered by a surge in prices of used cars, new cars and parts.

Personal auto insurers have been plagued by a high degree of claims cost inflation, with many having posted first-quarter 2023 loss cost increases of more than 20%, said Catherine Seifert, Berkshire analyst at CFRA Research.

To be sure, Berkshire does expect Geico to return to an underwriting profit in 2023 after obtaining premium rate increase approvals from a few states, Buffett said in his 2022 annual letter.

Here are the top 10 Wall Street research firms of the past decade, according to TipRanks

Here are the top 10 Wall Street research firms of the past decade, according to TipRanks

People are seen at the entrance of the UBS office in London, Britain March 20, 2023. 

Henry Nicholls | Reuters

After identifying the 10 best analysts on Wall Street of the past decade, here is a list of the 10 top research firms.

To create this list, TipRanks analyzed every stock recommendation made by investment research firms in the past decade. The ranking is based on the average return, success rate and statistical significance (number of recommendations made) of the ratings of analysts working at those firms.

related investing news

Here are the most overbought and oversold S&P 500 stocks, including several tech names

CNBC Pro

By incorporating statistical significance into our analysis, the list prioritizes firms with a higher number of ratings. This explains why some research firms may have a higher success rate and average return yet rank lower.

TipRanks has leveraged its Experts Center tool to identify the top 10 research firms.

Top 10 Wall Street Research Firms

The image below shows the most successful Wall Street research firms in descending order.

1. RBC Capital

Topping the list is the global investment bank RBC Capital. The firm’s 223 analysts issued 27,352 recommendations, the most out of all firms on this list, across various sectors. RBC Capital sports a success rate of 56%. Based on its recommendations, the firm generated an average return of 9.3%.

2. Jefferies

3. Truist Financial

Grabbing the third spot is the financial services provider Truist Financial. It has generated an average return of 13.4% based on 10,164 recommendations by 66 analysts across a diverse range of sectors. It has a success rate of 60%. 

4. Credit Suisse

Taking fourth place is the global financial services firm Credit Suisse. Its 467 analysts provided 18,683 recommendations across diverse sectors, generating an average return of 8.3%. Credit Suisse has a 57% success rate. 

Note: Credit Suisse was acquired by UBS on March 19.

5. UBS

6. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)

KBW is a full-service, boutique investment bank, and broker-dealer. Its team of 75 analysts issued 3,947 stock recommendations. The analysts have been most successful at recommending Services sector stocks. It boasts a success rate of 65%, the highest on this list, and an average return of 11.6%. 

7. Raymond James

Next on the list is the independent investment bank and financial services company Raymond James. It has delivered an average return of 8.2%. Moreover, it has a success rate of 55% based on 21,691 ratings from 162 analysts across a diverse range of sectors.

8. Stifel

Global wealth management and investment banking company Stifel features on the eighth spot of this list. The firm’s 291 analysts issued 20,870 recommendations across various sectors. Stifel has a success rate of 54%, and the firm generated an average return of 9.1%. It has been most profitable in recommending Technology sector stocks.

9. Wolfe Research

Independent sell-side research firm Wolfe Research takes the ninth spot. Its 48 analysts have a 61% success rate on over 5,432 ratings with an average return of 11%. The firm has been most profitable at recommending consumer goods sector stocks.

10. Deutsche Bank

German investment bank and financial services company Deutsche Bank is in the 10th spot. It has generated an average return of 7.3%. It has a 56% success rate on over 15,732 ratings from 346 analysts.

Bottom Line

Actively managed funds come with unique risks and rewards. Here's how investors can pick a winner

Actively managed funds come with unique risks and rewards. Here’s how investors can pick a winner

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Tuesday, March 28, 2023.

Victor J. Blue | Bloomberg | Getty Images

As investors navigate another uncertain year in markets, actively managed funds could add differentiated performance to their portfolios – if traders choose carefully. 

Actively managed funds have historically underperformed passive strategies, but 2022 was a better year than most for stock pickers. Only a slight majority of large-cap equity fund managers lagged their benchmarks last year, according to S&P Global’s SPIVA U.S. Scorecard. The firm noted that it was the lowest underperformance rate for the category since 2009. 

To be sure, that’s hardly a ringing endorsement. Investors can easily rack up high fees, as well as capital gains taxes, that make many actively managed funds a poor alternative to passively managed strategies that can mimic a benchmark at a lower cost. 

Still, actively managed funds can have a better chance of outperforming during periods of volatility. Plus, they beat passive strategies in some lesser-ventured categories for investors besides U.S. large caps, according to S&P’s research. 

One actively managed exchange traded fund called JPMorgan Premium Equity ETF (JEPI) has a 9.59% yield, driving investor interest in the ETF. It currently has more than $7 billion in inflows this year, according to FactSet data.

For Jennifer Bellis, private wealth advisor at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, it depends on what the investor is trying to accomplish. Actively managed funds can help diversify portfolios, but investors will have to do their due diligence, she said.

“It’s more about looking for the right manager and the right strategy,” Bellis said. 

Here’s how investors should go about deciding whether they should include actively managed funds in their portfolio – and what they should look for when deciding.  

A good track record is key

For investors evaluating actively managed strategies, a manager’s track record is the first place to start. A strong record of performance going back three, five and 10 years can show you how the funds and their methodologies have performed across different market cycles – especially when different investing styles have fallen in and out of favor. 

“Everyone can have an up year,” Bellis said. “So what you want to do is research the fund, the manager, and look for a track record. Ideally, a 10-year history look back is what you’re looking for.” 

Investors can also review managers and their teams, as well as their tenures at the fund. They can also give the fund’s holdings a careful review to assess how the choices stack up against their benchmarks. A fund that mirrors an index too closely may not generate any differentiated alpha, and may look like passive investments. 

Also, even successful managers can have a down year, as past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future success. 

Look for lower fees

Of course, investors will have to evaluate whether an actively traded fund is right for them. 

For newer, lesser capitalized investors, passive instruments could give them the opportunity to build wealth at a far lower threshold to entry – instead of the typically higher fees and capital gains taxes, as well as the research, that come with active managers. 

Actively managed funds typically charge an expense ratio between 0.5% and 1%, but the cost can climb even higher than 1.5%, according to Investopedia. Meanwhile, passive index funds average about 0.2%. Other charges that could be tacked on include 12b-1 fees that are marketing costs. 

“Those fees aren’t necessary,” Bellis said. “So, you want to make sure that you’re reviewing the prospectus to make sure that you don’t have those front- and back-load fees because there’s plenty of funds that don’t have them. There’s no reason to pay for them.”

Check for diversification

Investors will also have to evaluate where they want to apply active strategies in their portfolio, such as emerging markets or small caps. 

“Those markets are so broad, and there’s so many ideas within them that I think an active manager who is following those markets and looking through fundamentals can exploit some of the inefficiencies or find interesting ideas,” said Kathy Carey, director of asset manager research at Baird. 

Of note, small caps had the lowest underperformance rate last year among U.S. equities, according to S&P Global’s scorecard. Just 40% of active funds in domestic small caps underperformed.

Carey also said investors seeking exposure to more specific emerging markets ideas outside of China might have better luck with an actively traded strategy, Baird’s Carey said. 

Other interesting strategies within actively managed funds include long-short and total return strategies, according to Bellis. A long-short strategy is favored among hedge funds that seek to take bets on favored stocks, while betting against stocks that could fall. A total return strategy focuses on generating income for investors. 

Baird’s Carey said investors can evaluate where active strategies could add differentiation to their portfolios. 

“Active managers, again, have the opportunity to try to figure out where the market is going.” Carey said. 

The cost of investing has been falling. Here's what investors should know

The cost of investing has been falling. Here’s what investors should know

High fees can take a bite out of your portfolio returns, but the good news is that it’s becoming cheaper to invest.

Financial services firms charge clients a fee to invest their funds, typically withdrawn from their investment assets. When costs are high, they eat into returns over time.

Consider that over a 20-year period, an investment portfolio that’s generating a 4% annual return but assessed a 1% fee could lose nearly $30,000 more than a similar portfolio with a 0.25% annual fee, according to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Indeed, costs are going down as asset management firms compete for clients’ dollars. Expense ratios on equity mutual funds averaged 1.04% in 1996, according to the Investment Company Institute. They tumbled to an average of 0.5% in 2020.

“In the retail fund market where products compete to be bought… costs have never been lower. Investors can get a globally diversified portfolio for less than 10 basis points, which is terrific,” Micah Hauptman, director of investor protection at the Consumer Federation of America, said. 

Why has it become cheaper to invest?

Some experts believe a major catalyst behind this trend is an increased awareness among individual investors, leading many to become more price conscious.

“Consumers have learned that costs are directly, or inversely, correlated to return,” Ron A. Rhoades, director of the personal financial planning program in Western Kentucky University, said. “Basically, higher fees and cost equals lower returns. A lot of academic evidence backs that up.”

Rhoades said the cost of investing has also fallen over time due to the rise of fiduciary investment advisors, who are required to act in their clients’ best interest and aim to keep expenses low, as well as online robo-advisors that offer financial services at a cheaper rate. 

“That’s put a lot of pressure on the asset management industry to come up with lower-cost solutions because that’s what investment advisors are requiring,” Rhoades said.

Increased competition, notably in the ETF market and between direct-sold mutual funds, has also contributed to lower investment costs, Hauptman said.

An additional catalyst toward the declining cost of investing, Rhodes added, are mandates from the Labor Department that went into effect more than a decade ago.

These rules require retirement plan service providers to disclose fees to plan sponsors and called for employers to issue fee disclosures to individuals participating in workplace retirement plans. This led savers to pay closer attention to costs, Rhoades said.

How investors can be mindful of their expenses 

Investors need to assess their fees in relation to the value they are receiving from their investments, Hauptman said. Most financial advisors charge clients based on how much money they manage for them, which is typically about 1% of assets. Some financial advisors may charge a flat fee or bill by the hour.

“It’s important for investors to not just look at one piece of the investing puzzle to the extent that they’re getting products and services,” Hauptman said. “They need to consider all of the costs that they’re paying, because all of the costs will ultimately erode their total returns over time.”

Sheryl Garrett, a certified financial planner and founder of the Garrett Planning Network, advised newer investors trading individual securities to do so minimally, and keep the rest of their investments “plain vanilla” in order to reduce the amount of recurring transaction costs.

Here are three steps to keep a lid on investment fees:

Check your expense ratios: Do some comparison shopping as you look through mutual funds and ETFs. Investment fees have come down considerably in the last couple of decades, but fund managers may charge more for eclectic offerings, such as strategies that focus on alternative investments.

Watch for other costs: If you’re investing through a brokerage account, keep an eye out for transaction fees, which can be very painful for the most active investors. Some firms also charge for broker-assisted trades. In a 401(k) plan, you could face costs in the form of administrative expenses – and those are in addition to the fund fees you pay.

Know how your financial advisor is paid: Ask up front whether your financial advisor is a fiduciary. Does your advisor charge based on assets under management, or does he offer a flat fee? Does he receive any commissions for products he recommends to you? Get these details in writing and be sure you understand them before you hire this professional.

Ultimately, the best investment is for individuals to become self-educated about their finances, Garrett said.